Philippine Agri-Weather Forecast
During the forecast period, the country will be influenced by intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), northeasterly windflow, easterlies, and localized thunderstorms.
In the first half of the dekad, cloudy skies with rains are expected over Northern Luzon and most parts of Central Luzon due to the northeasterly windflow. Meanwhile, Palawan and most areas of the Visayas and Mindanao will experience cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms due to ITCZ. Easterlies will bring cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms over the rest of Central Luzon, the Bicol Region, Quezon, and Marinduque. The rest of the country will generally experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms, mostly in the afternoon or evening.
For the rest of the forecast period, cloudy skies with rains are expected over some parts of Northern Luzon and eastern parts of Luzon, while the rest of the country will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies, with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms and an increased chance of afternoon or evening rain showers or thunderstorms. Towards the end of the forecast period, a low-pressure area (LPA) is likely to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), but it is not expected to significantly affect the country’s weather conditions.
This weather outlook will be updated if significant changes in the forecast occur through the 24-hour public weather forecasts and weather advisories.
Northeasterly winds will prevail over Northern and Central Luzon, while winds coming from the east will affect the rest of Luzon and Visayas during the early days of the dekad. For the remaining days of the dekad, winds from east to northeast will prevail over Luzon and Visayas. Meanwhile, throughout the forecast period, Mindanao will experience winds coming from south.
Slight to moderate seas are expected over the entire archipelago during the forecast period.
ENSO ALERT SYSTEM STATUS: EL NIÑO (Updated: 07 October 2026)
A strong to very strong El Niño is present in the Tropical Pacific. Forecasts predict that El Niño will continue until the first half of 2027 and may reach its peak before the end of 2026.
El Niño increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall, which may lead to adverse impacts, including dry spells and droughts in some areas of the country. However, above normal rainfall conditions may still occur during the passage of tropical cyclones and other rain-bearing weather systems.
In the first half of the dekad, cloudy skies with rains are expected over Northern Luzon and most parts of Central Luzon due to the northeasterly windflow. Meanwhile, Palawan and most areas of the Visayas and Mindanao will experience cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms due to ITCZ. Easterlies will bring cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms over the rest of Central Luzon, the Bicol Region, Quezon, and Marinduque. The rest of the country will generally experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms, mostly in the afternoon or evening.
For the rest of the forecast period, cloudy skies with rains are expected over some parts of Northern Luzon and eastern parts of Luzon, while the rest of the country will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies, with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms and an increased chance of afternoon or evening rain showers or thunderstorms. Towards the end of the forecast period, a low-pressure area (LPA) is likely to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), but it is not expected to significantly affect the country’s weather conditions.
This weather outlook will be updated if significant changes in the forecast occur through the 24-hour public weather forecasts and weather advisories.
Northeasterly winds will prevail over Northern and Central Luzon, while winds coming from the east will affect the rest of Luzon and Visayas during the early days of the dekad. For the remaining days of the dekad, winds from east to northeast will prevail over Luzon and Visayas. Meanwhile, throughout the forecast period, Mindanao will experience winds coming from south.
Slight to moderate seas are expected over the entire archipelago during the forecast period.
ENSO ALERT SYSTEM STATUS: EL NIÑO (Updated: 07 October 2026)
A strong to very strong El Niño is present in the Tropical Pacific. Forecasts predict that El Niño will continue until the first half of 2027 and may reach its peak before the end of 2026.
El Niño increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall, which may lead to adverse impacts, including dry spells and droughts in some areas of the country. However, above normal rainfall conditions may still occur during the passage of tropical cyclones and other rain-bearing weather systems.
| ACTUAL SOIL MOISTURE CONDITION (as of October 1 – 10, 2026) |
|||
| WET | MOIST | DRY | |
| Pangasinan, La Union, Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, National Capital Region, Cavite, Batangas, Rizal, most parts of Quezon, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, northern part of Palawan, most parts of Bicol Region, most parts of Western Visayas, Eastern Samar, Leyte, Bukidnon, Davao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, and Lanao del Sur | Most of Ilocos Region, Laguna, Alabat, Infanta, some parts of Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, some parts of Capiz, Samar, Southern Leyte, Negros Occidental, Zamboanga del Sur, Davao del Sur, South Cotabato, Surigao del Norte, and Maguindanao | Sorsogon, Masbate, Rest of the country | |
Farm Advisories
Farmers are encouraged to closely monitor DOST-PAGASA weather forecasts, farm weather advisories, and rainfall outlooks when scheduling planting, irrigation, fertilization, harvesting, and farm activities. The forecasted weather may bring localized heavy rainfall and thunderstorm and dry spell. Farmers should ensure proper drainage to prevent waterlogging, and prepare irrigation systems to conserve water during periods of limited rainfall. Regularly inspect crops for pests and diseases, avoid applying fertilizers and pesticides before rainfall, and harvest mature crops when weather conditions permit. Secure farm equipment, livestock shelters, and harvested crops to minimize potential losses due to adverse weather conditions.
Regional Agrometeorological Situation and Prognosis
Region 1 Ilocos Region
Region 2 Cagayan Valley
CAR (Cordillera Administrative Region)
Region 3 Central Luzon
NCR (National Capital Region)
Region 4A CALABARZON
Region 4B MIMAROPA
Region 5 Bicol Region
Region 6 Western Visayas
Region 7 Central Visayas
Region 8 Eastern Visayas
Region 9 Zamboanga Peninsula
Region 10 Northern Mindanao
Region 11 Davao Region
Region 12 SOCCSKSARGEN
Region 13 CARAGA
BARMM (Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao)
| Region 1 Ilocos Region | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
|
Forecast Rainfall (mm): 10 – 100 |
Relative Humidity (%): 50 – 98 |
||
|
No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 2 – 5 |
Temperature (°C): 22 – 35 |
||
|
RICE |
|
|
| CORN |
|
||
| HIGH VALUE CROPS |
|
||
| FARM OPERATIONS |
|
||
Prepared By:
Prepared
MGA / JOT /
ARL / JAE
Checked
NRE
Approved
TAC
Uploaded
ARL
MGA / JOT /
ARL / JAE
Checked
NRE
Approved
TAC
Uploaded
ARL